San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 50.4%

SJS: 49.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.23

SJS: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

SJS

Alex Nedeljkovic - 5-7-2 | 0.895 SV% | 3.06 GAA

Stat	NSH	SJS
Season SV%	0.875	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.29	3.06

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	23	20	3	87.0%	3.56	4	0.56
SJS	Alex Nedeljkovic	27	25	2	92.6%	3.44	6	1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	NSH 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	NSH
2026-04-04	SJS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	SJS
2026-03-24	NSH 6 - 3 SJS	NSH	NSH
2025-03-11	SJS 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	SJS
2025-01-23	SJS 5 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	8	0	0.58
1	SJS	15	2	1.23
2	NSH	12	2	0.74
2	SJS	14	0	0.49
3	NSH	22	4	2.12
3	SJS	12	2	1.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown