Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche (SO)

Win Probability

EDM: 40.3%

COL: 59.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.80

COL: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs COL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	EDM 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-10	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL
2025-11-08	EDM 1 - 9 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-07	EDM 4 - 5 COL	COL	EDM
2025-01-16	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	0	0.66
1	COL	22	1	1.71
2	EDM	16	0	0.87
2	COL	14	0	1.23
3	EDM	15	0	0.84
3	COL	13	2	0.80
4	EDM	0	0	0.00
4	COL	8	2	1.06
5	EDM	3	2	1.82
5	COL	3	3	2.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4