Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

VGK: 61.3%

WPG: 38.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.32

WPG: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VGK at home vs WPG: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	VGK
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	16	0	0.72
1	WPG	7	0	0.15
2	VGK	23	0	1.80
2	WPG	14	0	0.71
3	VGK	14	1	1.23
3	WPG	11	2	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9