New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-04-14 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 44.5%

NJD: 55.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.11

NJD: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Stat	BOS	NJD
Season SV%	0.903	0.939
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.84	1.60

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	21	21	0	100.0%	1.93	0	1.93
NJD	Nico Daws	26	22	4	84.6%	2.71	3	-1.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs NJD: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	BOS
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	15	2	1.21
1	NJD	15	0	0.72
2	BOS	16	0	0.79
2	NJD	13	0	0.45
3	BOS	10	1	0.70
3	NJD	12	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown