Montreal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-04-14 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

PHI: 57.5%

MTL: 42.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.52

MTL: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PHI at home vs MTL: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	PHI 4 - 2 MTL	PHI	PHI
2025-12-16	MTL 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	MTL
2025-11-04	MTL 4 - 5 PHI	PHI	MTL
2025-04-05	MTL 3 - 2 PHI	MTL	PHI
2025-03-27	PHI 6 - 4 MTL	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	2	1.29
1	MTL	17	1	0.86
2	PHI	14	0	0.70
2	MTL	13	3	1.41
3	PHI	5	1	0.58
3	MTL	12	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8