Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-04-14 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 63.9%

WSH: 36.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.53

WSH: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

WSH

C. Stevenson

Stat	CBJ	WSH
Season SV%	0.909	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	21	19	2	90.5%	3.85	5	1.85
WSH	C. Stevenson	28	27	1	96.4%	2.47	0	1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CBJ at home vs WSH: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	0	0.81
1	WSH	8	0	0.38
2	CBJ	12	0	0.92
2	WSH	10	2	0.95
3	CBJ	13	0	0.74
3	WSH	19	3	2.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown