Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-04-14 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 37.0%

ANA: 63.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.01

ANA: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	MIN	ANA
Season SV%	0.928	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	37	35	2	94.6%	5.06	3	3.06
ANA	Lukas Dostal	20	17	3	85.0%	4.31	4	1.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs ANA: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.49
1	ANA	19	0	1.24
2	MIN	15	1	1.62
2	ANA	20	1	1.82
3	MIN	8	3	2.20
3	ANA	24	2	2.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown