Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-04-14 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

CGY: 34.6%

COL: 65.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.40

COL: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CGY at home vs COL: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CGY 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-09	COL 3 - 1 CGY	COL	COL
2026-03-30	COL 9 - 2 CGY	COL	COL
2025-03-31	COL 2 - 3 CGY	CGY	COL
2025-03-14	CGY 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	12	1	0.97
1	COL	13	0	0.57
2	CGY	13	1	0.78
2	COL	24	2	1.96
3	CGY	17	1	1.07
3	COL	17	1	2.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.4 - 3.5