Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-04-16 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 69.7%

VAN: 30.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.39

VAN: 1.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Connor Ingram - 2-2-0 | 0.883 SV% | 3.28 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	EDM	VAN
Season SV%	0.883	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.28	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Connor Ingram	12	11	1	91.7%	1.21	2	0.21
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	35	29	6	82.9%	3.97	1	-2.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • EDM at home vs VAN: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-01	VAN 7 - 9 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	24	1	1.80
1	VAN	8	1	0.61
2	EDM	18	0	1.33
2	VAN	5	1	0.45
3	EDM	12	0	0.85
3	VAN	5	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown