Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-04-19 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 58.2%
BOS: 41.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.42
BOS: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | BUF | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • BUF at home vs BOS: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | BUF | ||
| 2026-05-01 | BOS 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-04-28 | BUF 1 - 2 BOS | BOS | BUF |
| 2026-04-26 | BOS 1 - 6 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-04-23 | BOS 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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