Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-04-26 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 6 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

BOS: 38.1%

BUF: 61.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.60

BUF: 3.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • BOS at home vs BUF: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	BOS 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-28	BUF 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	BUF
2026-04-26	BOS 1 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-23	BOS 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-21	BUF 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	9	0	0.51
1	BUF	30	2	2.37
2	BOS	16	1	1.05
2	BUF	7	1	0.38
3	BOS	15	1	0.65
3	BUF	17	2	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 6 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.6 - 3.6