Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-04-20 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 63.0%

OTT: 37.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.34

OTT: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • CAR at home vs OTT: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	1.38
1	OTT	21	0	0.84
2	CAR	27	0	1.38
2	OTT	9	0	0.63
3	CAR	13	1	0.94
3	OTT	16	0	1.03
4	CAR	15	0	0.57
4	OTT	13	3	1.42
5	CAR	11	1	0.85
5	OTT	11	2	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9