Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-04-23 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

OTT: 35.2%

CAR: 64.8%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.72

CAR: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	11	1	0.83
1	CAR	15	0	1.16
2	OTT	9	1	0.76
2	CAR	16	1	1.17
3	OTT	12	0	0.52
3	CAR	15	4	2.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4