Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2026-04-29 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 59.4%
PIT: 40.6%
Expected Goals
PHI: 4.04
PIT: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 8.4
Over 5.5: 83%
Over 6.5: 70%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | PHI | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.840 | 0.901 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs PIT: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | PHI | ||
| 2026-04-29 | PHI 1 - 0 PIT | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-04-27 | PIT 3 - 2 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-04-25 | PHI 2 - 4 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-04-22 | PHI 5 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 4.0 - 3.1
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