Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-04-21 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

COL: 69.8%

LAK: 30.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.55

LAK: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	COL	LAK
Season SV%	0.919	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.13	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Scott Wedgewood	25	24	1	96.0%	1.97	0	0.97
LAK	Anton Forsberg	36	34	2	94.4%	3.46	1	1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • COL at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	20	0	0.97
1	LAK	10	0	0.78
2	COL	17	0	1.06
2	LAK	10	0	0.47
3	COL	18	1	1.12
3	LAK	11	0	0.36
4	COL	3	0	0.32
4	LAK	6	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.6 - 2.5