Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-04-23 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 33.0%

COL: 67.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.72

COL: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	LAK	COL
Season SV%	0.901	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	23	19	4	82.6%	3.53	3	-0.47
COL	Scott Wedgewood	26	24	2	92.3%	2.41	2	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	21	1	0.97
1	COL	9	0	0.51
2	LAK	10	1	0.77
2	COL	16	0	0.67
3	LAK	10	0	0.67
3	COL	17	3	2.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown