Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-04-18 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 1 - 6 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 50.7%
MIN: 49.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.37
MIN: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | DAL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • DAL at home vs MIN: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | DAL | ||
| 2026-04-30 | MIN 5 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-04-28 | DAL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | DAL |
| 2026-04-25 | MIN 3 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-04-22 | MIN 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 1 - 6 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.