Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-04-20 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

DAL: 52.9%

MIN: 47.1%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.27

MIN: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs MIN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	0	0.63
1	MIN	15	2	1.45
2	DAL	13	1	0.87
2	MIN	11	0	0.39
3	DAL	21	1	2.10
3	MIN	17	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0