Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-04-22 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 Dallas Stars (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 52.9%

DAL: 47.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.12

DAL: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • MIN at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.50
1	DAL	10	0	0.61
2	MIN	11	0	0.57
2	DAL	12	1	1.14
3	MIN	9	0	0.30
3	DAL	15	1	1.48
4	MIN	12	0	0.42
4	DAL	4	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1