Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-04-25 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Dallas Stars (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 53.8%

DAL: 46.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.21

DAL: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • MIN at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	22	1	1.38
1	DAL	13	2	0.93
2	MIN	7	0	0.27
2	DAL	24	1	1.85
3	MIN	18	1	1.31
3	DAL	14	1	0.72
4	MIN	16	0	0.77
4	DAL	15	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1