Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-04-28 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 50.8%

MIN: 49.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.29

MIN: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs MIN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	9	0	0.40
1	MIN	12	3	1.44
2	DAL	14	2	1.11
2	MIN	19	0	1.13
3	DAL	20	1	1.19
3	MIN	8	2	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1