Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-04-28 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 52.2%
MIN: 47.8%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.62
MIN: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | DAL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • DAL at home vs MIN: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | DAL | ||
| 2026-04-30 | MIN 5 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-04-28 | DAL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | DAL |
| 2026-04-25 | MIN 3 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-04-22 | MIN 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.6 - 3.0
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