Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-04-30 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

MIN: 52.9%

DAL: 47.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.03

DAL: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • MIN at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.85
1	DAL	6	0	0.26
2	MIN	10	0	0.57
2	DAL	14	1	0.90
3	MIN	12	3	1.84
3	DAL	14	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8