Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-04-19 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

VGK: 56.6%

UTA: 43.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.25

UTA: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs UTA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	16	0	0.57
1	UTA	14	0	0.62
2	VGK	17	1	1.01
2	UTA	15	0	0.56
3	VGK	17	2	1.59
3	UTA	16	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0