Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-04-21 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 67.8%

UTA: 32.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.54

UTA: 2.48

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 38%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs UTA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-03			VGK
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	UTA

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5