Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-04-24 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 42.2%

VGK: 57.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.31

VGK: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs VGK: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	14	1	0.89
1	VGK	14	1	0.79
2	UTA	13	0	0.50
2	VGK	17	1	1.34
3	UTA	7	0	0.22
3	VGK	24	1	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1