Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-04-27 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

Win Probability

UTA: 42.7%

VGK: 57.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.17

VGK: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs VGK: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	7	0	0.50
1	VGK	14	2	1.12
2	UTA	15	0	1.11
2	VGK	18	1	1.34
3	UTA	12	0	0.48
3	VGK	16	0	0.83
4	UTA	11	0	0.25
4	VGK	14	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3