Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-04-29 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Utah Hockey Club (OT)

Win Probability

VGK: 61.8%

UTA: 38.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.23

UTA: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs UTA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	11	1	1.15
1	UTA	11	0	0.53
2	VGK	18	1	1.05
2	UTA	16	0	0.87
3	VGK	8	1	0.57
3	UTA	19	0	1.03
4	VGK	11	0	0.47
4	UTA	12	0	0.58
5	VGK	5	0	0.43
5	UTA	3	1	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8