Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-04-22 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 6 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 54.0%

ANA: 46.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.36

ANA: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 57%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • EDM at home vs ANA: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	1	1.84
1	ANA	15	0	0.78
2	EDM	12	0	0.55
2	ANA	19	1	1.19
3	EDM	12	0	0.66
3	ANA	9	2	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 6 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3