Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-04-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

EDM: 60.6%

ANA: 39.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.49

ANA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • EDM at home vs ANA: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	0	1.38
1	ANA	8	0	0.51
2	EDM	9	0	0.74
2	ANA	15	1	0.83
3	EDM	3	0	0.04
3	ANA	20	1	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0