Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-04-30 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 53.0%

EDM: 47.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.00

EDM: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

EDM

Connor Ingram - 2-2-0 | 0.883 SV% | 3.28 GAA

Stat	ANA	EDM
Season SV%	0.888	0.883
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	3.28

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	27	25	2	92.6%	2.76	3	0.76
EDM	Connor Ingram	31	26	5	83.9%	4.47	3	-0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • ANA at home vs EDM: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	0	0.99
1	EDM	16	1	0.92
2	ANA	23	0	1.38
2	EDM	13	1	0.99
3	ANA	8	3	2.10
3	EDM	16	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown