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2025-26 Season Live

Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 07, 2024)

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Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 07, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 62.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 31
Biggest swing 23.6 pp
Home time led 21.9%
Away time led 78.1%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
102100:00period-start0-052.4%
289111:40goal0-134.2%
373114:28goal1-151.3%
126200:00period-start1-155.8%
605206:11goal1-230.1%
631208:34goal1-317.5%
645209:25goal1-43.4%
675212:29goal2-413.7%
462300:00period-start2-48.0%
876306:04goal2-51.8%
210312:17goal2-62.5%
1021314:35goal3-61.2%
726320:00game-end3-61.0%