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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Apr 03, 2024)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 03, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 64.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 55
Biggest swing 32.7 pp
Home time led 22.0%
Away time led 78.0%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
102100:00period-start0-053.0%
262110:03goal0-165.6%
518119:00goal1-159.6%
137200:00period-start1-143.8%
565202:54goal1-248.7%
210208:47goal1-319.1%
479300:00period-start1-310.2%
1125314:19goal1-41.0%
845320:00game-end1-40.6%