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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Oct 21, 2024)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 21, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 48.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 8
Biggest swing 58.4 pp
Home time led 95.4%
Away time led 4.6%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
359115:57goal1-155.4%
146103:57goal1-066.6%
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
744214:02goal5-197.7%
636209:31goal4-194.6%
611207:33goal3-185.9%
157201:56goal2-169.8%
63200:00period-start1-155.8%
565320:00game-end5-298.9%
1021314:53goal5-298.7%
94300:00period-start5-198.7%