🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Nov 30, 2024)

In-Game Dashboard

Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 30, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 58.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 17.4 pp
Home time led 12.0%
Away time led 88.0%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
142100:00period-start0-056.7%
261107:13goal0-146.5%
161200:00period-start0-139.4%
731208:06goal0-220.5%
737208:39goal0-33.4%
918218:59goal0-42.0%
186300:00period-start0-41.8%
1075311:21goal1-40.9%
1118315:19goal2-43.8%
1147317:38goal3-413.4%
1165318:44goal3-53.4%
574320:00game-end3-53.2%