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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Jan 21, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens

Jan 21, 2025
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 61.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 32
Biggest swing 46.4 pp
Home time led 39.8%
Away time led 60.2%
The Flood (3-straight)MTL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
284114:20goal0-145.9%
75200:00period-start0-137.7%
393202:45goal0-221.3%
573205:32goal1-233.5%
589207:21goal2-254.2%
100300:00period-start2-254.8%
936317:45goal3-288.0%
472320:00game-end3-292.3%