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2025-26 Season Live

Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Feb 04, 2025)

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Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning

Feb 04, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 64.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 24.4 pp
Home time led 87.4%
Away time led 12.6%
The Flood (2-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
296114:09goal0-146.1%
71200:00period-start0-137.7%
538201:44goal1-157.0%
656207:38goal2-171.0%
683209:30goal2-256.7%
96300:00period-start2-254.8%
825301:56goal3-279.3%
1044318:25goal4-297.8%
1049318:40goal4-394.1%
471320:00game-end4-393.9%