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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Mar 02, 2025)

In-Game Dashboard

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins

Mar 02, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 39.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 39
Biggest swing 39.9 pp
Home time led 60.4%
Away time led 39.6%
The Flood (2-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-050.8%
127102:15goal0-136.4%
159104:39goal0-224.3%
297110:27goal1-234.4%
372111:29goal2-250.5%
402113:51goal3-267.2%
82200:00period-start3-271.0%
645204:08goal3-354.2%
847215:38goal4-375.5%
890219:04goal4-455.0%
203219:59goal4-526.2%
95300:00period-start4-526.7%
919300:10goal5-555.0%
516400:00period-start5-551.6%
475401:00game-end5-610.5%
1187401:00goal5-60.0%