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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Mar 02, 2025)

In-Game Dashboard

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins

Mar 02, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 39.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 47
Biggest swing 36.9 pp
Home time led 58.8%
Away time led 41.2%
The Flood (2-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-050.3%
127102:15goal0-138.2%
159104:39goal0-225.6%
297110:27goal1-235.1%
372111:29goal2-250.4%
402113:51goal3-267.6%
82200:00period-start3-270.5%
645204:08goal3-353.8%
847215:38goal4-376.4%
890219:04goal4-455.7%
203219:59goal4-528.5%
95300:00period-start4-526.8%
919300:10goal5-555.7%
516400:00period-start5-556.2%
475401:00game-end5-611.5%
1187401:00goal5-60.0%