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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Mar 02, 2025)

In-Game Dashboard

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins

Mar 02, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 56.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 64
Biggest swing 37.2 pp
Home time led 55.4%
Away time led 44.6%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-048.7%
127102:15goal0-136.0%
159104:39goal0-228.5%
297110:27goal1-232.1%
372111:29goal2-248.6%
402113:51goal3-264.9%
82200:00period-start3-271.7%
645204:08goal3-351.2%
847215:38goal4-376.6%
890219:04goal4-460.8%
203219:59goal4-526.2%
95300:00period-start4-525.9%
919300:10goal5-562.2%
516400:00period-start5-554.2%
475401:00game-end5-613.9%
1187401:00goal5-60.0%