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2025-26 Season Live

Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Mar 03, 2025)

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Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals

Mar 03, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 58.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 36.8 pp
Home time led 99.5%
Away time led 0.5%
The Flood (4+ straight)OTT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
99103:34goal2-087.7%
73101:41goal1-071.2%
103100:00period-start0-067.1%
812212:18goal3-190.8%
646206:53goal3-093.7%
122200:00period-start2-089.1%
1135318:52goal4-455.2%
1050312:43goal4-387.1%
997308:01goal3-361.3%
911301:05goal3-283.9%
142300:00period-start3-189.0%
559400:00period-start4-455.5%
488500:00period-start4-463.2%
494500:00game-end4-463.2%
566500:00goal4-463.2%