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2025-26 Season Live

Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Mar 03, 2025)

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Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals

Mar 03, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 59.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 26
Biggest swing 42.6 pp
Home time led 71.4%
Away time led 28.6%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
99103:34goal2-088.0%
73101:41goal1-069.1%
103100:00period-start0-067.5%
812212:18goal3-188.8%
646206:53goal3-095.1%
122200:00period-start2-086.4%
1135318:52goal4-459.4%
1050312:43goal4-389.3%
997308:01goal3-348.9%
911301:05goal3-286.6%
142300:00period-start3-192.3%
559400:00period-start4-444.1%
488500:00period-start4-456.6%
494500:00game-end4-456.6%
566500:00goal4-456.6%