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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 06, 2025)

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Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 06, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 55.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 22.8 pp
Home time led 78.3%
Away time led 21.7%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
157105:01goal1-066.9%
164105:17goal1-155.5%
171105:53goal2-166.9%
254108:20goal2-256.6%
365117:09goal2-341.3%
79200:00period-start2-337.7%
516200:58goal3-354.4%
678209:35goal3-439.3%
764212:40goal3-516.7%
824217:43goal4-531.9%
843218:46goal5-556.9%
406300:00period-start5-553.7%
882301:40goal6-581.8%
1023320:00game-end6-594.4%