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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Mar 23, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights

Mar 23, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 51.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 13.0 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%
The Flood (3-straight)VGK

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
294111:02goal1-071.7%
319113:33goal2-087.9%
393119:13goal3-094.5%
176200:00period-start3-094.5%
808217:38goal3-190.5%
193300:00period-start3-190.9%
1055317:18goal4-199.0%
1083319:55goal4-2100.0%
527320:00game-end4-298.1%