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2025-26 Season Live

Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames Win Probability Chart (Apr 05, 2025)

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Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames

Apr 05, 2025
Calgary Flames pregame win prob 51.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 35
Biggest swing 25.4 pp
Home time led 17.2%
Away time led 82.8%
The Flood (2-straight)VGK
The Grip (entering P3)VGK — xG +1.5

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
509118:39goal0-140.7%
218200:00period-start0-137.7%
705209:57goal0-215.8%
872219:52goal1-230.4%
79300:00period-start1-230.4%
894300:43goal2-241.5%
250400:00period-start2-243.5%
486404:31game-end2-38.4%
1269404:31goal2-30.0%