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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Apr 09, 2025)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 09, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 63.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 38.2 pp
Home time led 8.5%
Away time led 91.5%
The Flood (2-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
10100:00period-start0-055.8%
63101:13goal0-140.7%
101103:33goal0-223.2%
433118:58goal1-240.7%
554200:00period-start1-237.7%
596300:00period-start1-230.5%
865300:50goal2-265.0%
886302:03goal2-338.9%
1100311:05goal3-355.3%
782400:00period-start3-356.4%
1312402:56goal3-48.3%
1351402:56game-end3-40.0%