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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (May 01, 2025)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators

May 01, 2025
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 59.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 34
Biggest swing 35.8 pp
Home time led 26.0%
Away time led 74.0%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
604118:50goal0-140.1%
9100:00period-start0-055.8%
831207:28goal1-237.0%
644200:43goal0-220.8%
39200:00period-start0-138.8%
1063320:00game-end2-43.0%
1363319:41goal2-43.2%
1284314:21goal2-320.4%
1260312:40goal2-254.5%
531300:00period-start1-230.6%