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2025-26 Season Live

Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Oct 09, 2025)

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Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning

Oct 09, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 53.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 60
Biggest swing 84.9 pp
Home time led 33.3%
Away time led 66.7%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
466114:46goal3-167.2%
326110:18goal2-128.7%
252107:00goal2-079.7%
145105:35goal1-064.7%
52100:00period-start0-055.4%
255215:09goal3-341.0%
613200:42goal3-246.8%
521320:00game-end4-57.7%
605200:00period-start3-184.9%
261319:46goal4-58.8%
260319:12goal3-53.1%
258318:13goal3-411.8%
900300:00period-start3-355.0%