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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Oct 09, 2025)

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

Oct 09, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 68.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 35
Biggest swing 38.6 pp
Home time led 52.2%
Away time led 47.8%
The Flood (3-straight)PIT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
102100:00period-start0-042.2%
251103:23goal1-057.2%
417112:02goal1-140.3%
591200:00period-start1-154.4%
639204:04goal1-228.2%
712205:41goal2-247.1%
256208:58goal3-269.1%
945219:19goal3-343.1%
962300:00period-start3-343.4%
258314:21goal4-388.0%
666320:00game-end4-391.3%