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New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Oct 11, 2025)

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New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

Oct 11, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 65.0%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 14
Biggest swing 45.0 pp
Home time led 10.6%
Away time led 89.4%
The Flood (3-straight)NJD
The Grip (entering P3)NJD — xG +1.5

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
253113:48goal0-38.2%
246110:17goal0-220.7%
252108:30goal0-128.6%
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
755217:23goal2-310.3%
627207:31goal1-37.2%
335320:00game-end3-51.4%
491200:00period-start0-37.0%
1045316:17goal3-52.8%
875306:29goal2-51.9%
844304:48goal2-43.6%
796300:00period-start2-310.7%