Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Oct 14, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals pregame win prob
51.7%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
35
Biggest swing
44.1 pp
Home time led
40.2%
Away time led
59.8%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 1 | 07:06 | goal | 0-1 | 42.2% |
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.8% |
| 846 | 2 | 17:38 | goal | 1-1 | 50.4% |
| 361 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-1 | 38.8% |
| 1001 | 3 | 04:56 | goal | 2-2 | 54.5% |
| 900 | 3 | 01:23 | goal | 1-2 | 26.7% |
| 892 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 55.9% |
| 476 | 4 | 01:19 | game-end | 3-2 | 91.7% |
| 1257 | 4 | 01:19 | goal | 3-2 | 100.0% |
| 1244 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 55.2% |