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New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Oct 18, 2025)

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New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators

Oct 18, 2025
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 47.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 31.3 pp
Home time led 88.6%
Away time led 11.4%
The Flood (2-straight)NYI

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.4%
346117:01goal1-065.3%
449200:00period-start1-071.4%
567205:32goal2-085.6%
109206:50goal2-159.1%
630209:57goal2-258.6%
781216:46goal3-278.5%
786217:45goal3-351.0%
795218:47goal4-372.2%
816300:00period-start4-379.1%
891306:00goal4-451.5%
1083318:57goal4-514.5%
470320:00game-end4-511.1%