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2025-26 Season Live

Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Oct 28, 2025)

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Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 28, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 57.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 11
Biggest swing 52.1 pp
Home time led 65.9%
Away time led 34.1%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
170104:33goal0-147.9%
102100:00period-start0-055.8%
952219:25goal2-258.3%
457217:55goal1-232.8%
724203:13goal1-154.5%
522320:00game-end4-393.7%
637200:00period-start0-141.8%
1238317:56goal4-393.8%
1185314:49goal3-359.3%
255303:45goal3-283.6%
962300:00period-start2-260.5%