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2025-26 Season Live

Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Nov 03, 2025)

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 03, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 51.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 18
Biggest swing 73.2 pp
Home time led 27.2%
Away time led 72.8%
The Flood (4+ straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
204117:56goal0-220.4%
342113:08goal0-130.2%
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
759211:50goal0-34.7%
504200:00period-start0-221.6%
571320:00game-end4-392.3%
1091313:43goal4-376.5%
989306:55goal3-326.1%
958304:47goal2-316.0%
942303:31goal1-34.4%
888300:00period-start0-32.3%