Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Nov 03, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
51.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
16
Biggest swing
70.8 pp
Home time led
25.9%
Away time led
74.1%
The Flood (4+ straight)TOR
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 | 1 | 17:56 | goal | 0-2 | 20.1% |
| 342 | 1 | 13:08 | goal | 0-1 | 30.8% |
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 759 | 2 | 11:50 | goal | 0-3 | 6.1% |
| 504 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 21.7% |
| 571 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-3 | 92.2% |
| 1091 | 3 | 13:43 | goal | 4-3 | 77.9% |
| 989 | 3 | 06:55 | goal | 3-3 | 23.2% |
| 958 | 3 | 04:47 | goal | 2-3 | 16.5% |
| 942 | 3 | 03:31 | goal | 1-3 | 5.9% |
| 888 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-3 | 7.8% |